9 and the score expected between 20 and 22

"The victory has a hundred fathers, but defeat is an orphan," said John Fitzgerald Kennedy. In the aftermath of what looms as one of the worst results of the PS in the European elections with a score of 16.8, according to estimates at 22 hours, Martine Aubry will have its supporters.

"I take any responsibility for the Socialist Party in the score which is his own, said the first Secretary." I seek no external reason to ourselves. ""I believe that we are not yet credible, said Martine Aubry. The PS suffered his internal battles and its divisions. "His party is far, far from the outcome of previous elections, in 2004 (28.9) and the score expected (between 20 and 22).

Despite this resounding failure, it should remain in his position as first Secretary. Indeed, since the eviction of Michel Rocard in 1994 when the PS had registered its worst score in the European (14), the Statute of the party were modified. First Secretary now draws its legitimacy from the vote and activists of the national Council, who had refused its confidence to the former Prime Minister of François Mitterrand.

Hamon main victim

Even if on television trays no Socialist personality would overwhelm Martine Aubry ("No conspiracy, coup d'etat pas", felt Pierre Moscovici), the internal challenge could be noisy in the coming days. Martine Aubry had already a pebble in a shoe before, now it's one in both. The national Secretariat which meets tomorrow morning is likely to be heated and this could be worse for the direction tomorrow afternoon, the meeting of the national Council of the party.

"There will be changes in governance", said Pierre Moscovici, who felt had "involve major personalities in the leadership of the party." Indeed, Laurent Fabius and Ségolène Royal, for example, there are. Manuel Valls has called for a "burst", adding: "if it continued as before, this would mean that we have not understood what happened." For its part, Jean-Christophe Cambadélis, "strauss-khanien" close of Martine Aubry, said that "there is no future for the PS if there is not a real, claire renovation, if there is not a unit".

Benoît Hamon, in third position in the Ile-de-France, is the most emblematic victim of this failed (the PS does that 14.3 in this region). He had contested the choice of the direction, which had preferred Harlem desire as head of the list. Last week, relatives of the boiling spokesperson of the party had already warned that they will not be "total solidarity with the direction." This warning looks like a euphemism now.

Relatives of Ségolène Royal, which the PS had to entrust a mission as early as tomorrow (representation in the Socialist International) and who had solid game from the meeting of the "renewed unit" from May 27 to Rezé, will no doubt reluctant to associate with a terribly fragile leadership. Friends of François Hollande could well, too, heard a dissonant music. And it is not the only...

Questionable choices

The European elections were to be a kind of "test" before the regional elections of 2010, the real issue for the PS, who leads 20 regions on 22. But this sinking sounding boards: unable to calmly focus on this new electoral objective as long as the party will not make the consequences of these elections. A bad campaign, an organization of poor management, poor communication, of questionable campaign choices... On board the vessel PS which was stabilized after taking water from any part at the Reims Congress last November, it has not finished to receive 1,000,0000.